The longstanding dominance of Tether and Circle in the stablecoin market is showing signs of weakening, with their combined market share declining from a peak of 91.6% in March 2024 to approximately 86% currently. This trend reflects fundamental shifts in the stablecoin ecosystem driven by three key factors. Market analysis reveals that while Tether and Circle currently maintain a commanding position with $245 billion in total supply, representing about 85% of the market, their historical dominance has fluctuated. The lowest recorded market share for the duopoly was 77.71% in December 2021, when competitors including Binance USD, DAI, FRAX, and PAX held more substantial positions. The first major trend reshaping the market involves intermediaries increasingly issuing their own stablecoins. The emergence of white-label stablecoin providers such as Anchorage, Brale, M0, Agora, and Stripe’s Bridge has significantly reduced the barriers to entry. This development enables even seed-stage startups to launch proprietary stablecoins without requiring massive scale. Financial incentives drive this shift significantly. When cryptocurrency exchanges hold customer deposits in mainstream stablecoins like USDT, the issuing companies capture the float income—approximately $35 million annually on $500 million in deposits—while intermediaries receive nothing. Three strategies have emerged to capture this value: negotiating revenue sharing with established issuers, partnering with emerging stablecoins that offer built-in revenue distribution, or internalizing all profits through proprietary stablecoin issuance. Evidence of this trend is already visible across the ecosystem. Fintech companies commonly display user balances as generic “dollars” while managing reserve assets in proprietary stablecoins. Exchanges are forming revenue-sharing agreements with stablecoin issuers, while some have established consortiums like the Global Dollar Alliance. DeFi protocols are exploring proprietary stablecoins, exemplified by Hyperliquid’s public bidding process to reduce USDC dependency. Wallet providers like Phantom have also entered the space with Phantom Cash, a Bridge-issued stablecoin featuring yield generation and debit card functionality. The second transformative trend involves intensified yield competition among stablecoins. Excluding Tether and USDC, the remaining stablecoin market has reached record supply levels with increased issuer diversity. Major emerging stablecoins include Sky (MakerDAO’s upgraded Dai), Ethena’s USDe, Paypal’s PYUSD, and World Liberty’s USD1, alongside notable contenders like Ondo’s USDY, Paxos’ USDG, and Agora’s AUSD. These new entrants commonly focus on yield transmission as a competitive advantage. While the GENIUS Act prohibits stablecoins from directly paying yields to holders, it doesn’t restrict third-party platforms or intermediaries from distributing rewards funded by issuer payments. This regulatory framework has prompted a shift from direct yield payments to yield transmission through intermediaries, creating what amounts to a yield race to the top. The third significant development involves banking sector participation. Following the GENIUS Act implementation, banks can now issue stablecoins without new licensing requirements, provided they maintain 100% high-quality liquid asset collateralization, enable 1:1 redemption, fulfill disclosure and audit obligations, and accept regulatory oversight. Although stablecoins don’t qualify for federal deposit insurance and collateral assets cannot be used for lending, banks may still find issuance attractive given potential revenue opportunities from custody fees, transaction charges, redemption fees, and API integration services. Industry observers note that major financial institutions including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo have reportedly explored forming a stablecoin consortium. For banks facing potential deposit outflows to yield-bearing stablecoins, proprietary issuance could represent a strategic response. The traditional assumption that network effects would inevitably lead to stablecoin consolidation is being reconsidered. Unlike social media or ride-sharing platforms, stablecoins operate on blockchain infrastructure where users can transfer between tokens with minimal friction. As cross-chain swapping becomes more efficient and intra-chain stablecoin exchanges approach zero cost, the importance of individual stablecoin network effects diminishes. While established players retain advantages in trading spreads across hundreds of exchanges, infrastructure maturation benefits the entire industry except the incumbents. The combination of reduced issuance costs, yield internalization incentives, regulatory standardization, and banking sector entry suggests the stablecoin market’s competitive landscape is undergoing fundamental transformation after a decade of relative stability.










